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As many commodities have continued to climb impressively, one stands out like a sore thumb to me: lumber. What can the price of lumber mean, or more importantly, do for you? [soros] Q1 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more The Current State Of The S&P 500Before diving into the lumber market, let’s review the current state of the S&P 500. There weren’t too many surprises in the S&P 500 in Tuesday’s cash session, as the $SPX settled practically flat on the day. $SPX is at the higher end of its recent range, as discussed in yesterday’s publication . It will most likely require a catalyst ...
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Below is commentary by Jeff Buchbinder, Equity Strategist for LPL Financial “Amazing Earnings Season” Q1 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Amazing Earnings SeasonIt’s embarrasing to admit this but in our earnings season preview on April 12, when the consensus estimate reflected a nearly 24% increase, we wrote that S&P 500 Index earnings growth for the first quarter could potentially exceed 30%. Fast forward to today and earnings growth for the quarter is on pace to double - yes, double \- that 24% growth rate, which would mark one of the biggest upside surprises ever recorded. Here...
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Is this week, dare I say, the first “normal” week of 2021? Let’s take a look at what has happened in January so far in what is supposed to be a more prosperous year than 2020. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Bulls On Stock ParadeSix days into 2021, the Capitol saw its first insurrection since 1814. Two weeks later, we inaugurated a new president. A week later, we saw class warfare before our eyes when Redditors from the "WallStreetBets" subreddit took on hedge funds and won. After declining in two of the last four weeks, the indices haven't seen a single down day all week. If ...
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The King Report January 20, 2021 Issue 6430 After soaring during the Nikkei’s 1 Session, ESHs retreated sharply during the 2 Session. ESHs then chopped sideways until a spurt higher occurred on the NYSE open. This rally lasted one minute. ESHs and US stocks then declined sharply on another successful pump & dump scheme. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more ESHs declined 24 handles from their high until 11:16 ET. The obligatory rally into the European close then materialized. The rally morphed into a Noon Balloon; ESHs and US stocks returned to the highs that were created on the NYS...
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Whitney Tilson’s email to investors discussing Tesla’s Q4 production and deliveries; Hypercharts’ updated charts; Model S erupted ‘like a flamethrower.’; Spiegel Dec. letter; Kass: my best pick for 2021 – short Tesla; bull-bear arguments & debate. Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more A bunch of bullish and bearish arguments below for you to chew on… Tesla's Q4 Production And Deliveries1) Tesla reported its Q4 production and deliveries on Saturday and the stock rose 1.6% to an all-time high yesterday. Here’s Hypercharts’ updated charts on Tesla’s deliveries, revenues, margins, etc. ...
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Whitney Tilson’s email to investors discussing that Enrique Abeyta thinks the market could double; three short reports on Nano-X Imaging Ltd (NASDAQ:NNOX).Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and moreThe Market Could Double1) Following up on yesterday's e-mail, I asked my colleague Enrique Abeyta to elaborate on why he's so bullish on stocks despite this table that has been circulating in the investment community showing how expensive the S&P 500 Index appears to be:Enrique replied:It's important to look at this in the context of a cyclical. Cyclicals always trade at crazy valuations at the...
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Whitney Tilson’s email to investors discussing Tesla surges to near-record high on mysterious new investor buying big; when Tesla joins the S&P 500, you know it’s game over; Elon Musk’s Twitter exchange with a Harvard Doctor re. rapid testing; Tesla sales in Germany.Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more1) What a sign of the times… There is less than ZERO chance Buffett or his two investing successors, Todd Combs or Ted Weschler, are buying TSLA! Tesla (TSLA) surges to near-record high on mysterious new investor buying big – ElectrekWhen Tesla Joins the S&P 500, You Know It’s Game Ov...
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Whitney Tilson’s email to investors discussing Tesla to be added to S&P 500; “time to re-engage (on Tesla short)?”; Space Karen; rapid COVID testing; in Biden, Detroit gets a ‘car guy’ with electric vehicles on his mind; first he built Tesla, now he’s recycling all the batteries; Who’s Drunk on Tesla?Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and moreTesla to Be Added to S&P 500 Index1) TSLA is up 9% after hours on this news: Tesla to Be Added to S&P 500 IndexTime To Re-Engage On Tesla Short2) The Tesla message board on ValueInvestorsClub was super active with 526 posts from March 2019 until a co...
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FPA Crescent Fund commentary for the third quarter ended September 2020, discussing that more than half of the stocks in the ACWI and S&P have declined in value this year.Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and moreH/T DataromaDear Shareholders:OverviewThe FPA Crescent Fund (“Fund” or “Crescent”) gained 3.80% for the third quarter and declined -5.12% for the first nine months of 2020.1The global MSCI ACWI Index (“ACWI”) advanced 8.13% in the third quarter, while the domestic S&P 500 Index (“S&P”) increased 8.93%. Year-to-date through September, the ACWI and S&P returned 1.37% and 5.57%, re...
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