commodities
If the current market phenomena were to star in a Shakespeare drama, they would be ideal candidates for the Three Witches. Can you guess who would play who? Have you ever heard of Shakespeare’s mythological characters, the Three Witches? They are depicted as prophets who represent evil, darkness, chaos, and conflict. Q1 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more If you look at the market today, you will find ideal candidates for these dark roles. However, while rising commodity prices and inflation have a casting win in their pocket, there is no certain actor to play the third witch. Would ...
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The year 2008 does not bring fond memories in its latter half, but in the middle of the year, commodity traders sure did have a lot of fun with oil and all kinds of other commodities going parabolic – like crude oil near $150 a barrel – the sort of way commodities are acting now. Q4 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more A Relief Sell-Off In The Commodity IndexesWTI crude closed last week at $114 a barrel, so the 2008 high is in play, contingent of course on how the Ukrainian crisis plays out. A speedy conclusion of the war, which right now seems unlikely, would mean a relief sell-off i...
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Commodities are on fire. The price of oil has soared 43% since the start of the year. Palladium – a metal most often used in catalytic converters – has increased 28% over the same period, while wheat has spiked 39%… Q4 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more These are major moves. But I see commodity prices headed even higher this year. Specifically, a huge opportunity is setting up in one of the most overlooked corners of the commodity market. I’ll show you how to position yourself for this in a minute. But first, let’s look at why commodity stocks have been on such a tear lately. Risin...
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Is it time to buy the dip? After all, the stock market has been a sea of red lately. Q4 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Many former highflyers are down 50%... 60%... even 70%. That has many investors salivating to buy “cheap” shares. And I get it… Buying the dip can be a great money-making strategy. But I don’t think that’s the play here. As I’ll show you, the investing landscape has changed dramatically in recent weeks. Instead of buying the dip in some of the hottest sectors of the past two years, like green energy… cybersecurity… and software stocks… I have an out-of-the-box i...
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Crude oil facing uncertain futureDr Copper examines head and shouldersQ2 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Crude Oil Facing Uncertain FutureCrude oil prices – and investors in oil and oil-related stocks and other assets – are facing an uncertain future. Specifically, it is not the supply but the outlook for demand that looks a lot more uncertain, owing almost entirely to the resilience of Covid and its impact on the global recovery. As many countries have been forced to re-impose or maintain travel restrictions over the past few months due to the spread of the Delta variant of the ...
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Friday’s jobs report was very good indeed, and now the focus shifts back to inflation with this week’s upcoming data releases as investors continue to speculate about the timing of the Fed’s decision to taper its bond purchases. It looks like investors are starting to believe that we are getting very close to that time and Fed Chair Jay Powell may well provide the roadmap for tapering either at the Jackson Hole Symposium or at the FOMC’s September meeting. Several Fed officials including Vice Chairman Richard Clarida, Mary Daly and James Bullard have all recently indicated that an announcement...
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S&P 500 broadening leadership and fresh reflationary ATHs are here – the FOMC “tightening” hit notwithstanding. Energy, financials and industrials I discussed yesterday and before, were among the leaders, with tech not staying far behind. Crucially, the tech breadth was also improving – such rotations are the stock bull market‘s health. Neither the VIX nor the put/call ratio are arguing. The sentiment going into today‘s non-farm payrolls, remains constructive, and unlikely to result in reconstruction of the Fed tightening bets. Such was my real-time Twitter interpretation. Q1 2021 hedge fund l...
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The last 12 months took most of us by surprise as no one was prepared for the impact a global pandemic would have on the world’s financial markets. Following an unsteady few months, things began to stabilize and investors regained their confidence. As a result, 2020 was a bumper year for the number of new investors trying different kinds of trading for the first time. All different kinds of investing saw more interest than ever before, including from those who previously hadn’t been interested. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more There were several drivers that helped facilitate t...
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Horos Asset Management commentary for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2020 discussing an approach to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Dear co-investor, Finally, a very difficult year for everyone has come to an end. I can add little to the encouragement and gratitude for your trust that we have shown you in our previous letters. May the arrival of the vaccine be the turning point we all wish for our lives. Indeed, that turning point seems to have already come to the financial markets, with equity indexes experiencing a strong recovery i...
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Like other financial markets, the global commodity markets also witnessed a sharp slowdown at the start of last year. However, a rebound later in the year – owing to rising energy prices, a weaker U.S. dollar, higher consumption demand and more – helped push up the overall commodity prices. As global markets continue to heal around the globe, the commodity markets will also continue to rebound, making them a good investment option. If you are also planning to invest in commodities, to help you choose, following are the ten best performing commodities of 2020. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, confer...
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