siliconvalleybank
The uncertain outlook for inflation and Fed policy has caused Treasury yields to fluctuate significantly in 2023. The Fed’s tightening has exposed weaknesses in the banking sector, as evidenced by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), which has resulted in a surge in 10-year Treasury volatility to levels last seen in 2020 and 2008. While rising rates alone may not necessarily harm market health, the increased uncertainty surrounding the path of interest rates can have significant consequences for all market participants. Banks may struggle to accurately price lending products. Business cas...
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Silicon Valley Bank was just the beginning… $620 billion in “unrealized” losses… The US government’s dangerous new precedent… Trade your dollars for these two assets… If your bank fails, you’ll be bailed out. BUT… Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more It’s about something much more urgent. As I’ll show you... There’s a small but real chance dozens of US banks go belly-up in the coming weeks. And what follows would destroy the value of your hard-earned savings unlike anything we’ve seen over the past few decades. I’ll lay out the facts and let you be the judge. I’ll also show you the...
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From Crisis Comes Opportunity (For the Patient Investor)From the perspective of the U.S. stock market, 2022 was a miserable year (with the S&P 500 declining 19.4%), but until recently, 2023 was shaping up to be a stronger year. January’s performance was particularly impressive, with the S&P 500 advancing more than 6%. In response, market participants cautiously began holding out hope for a soft landing. Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more But then, seemingly out of nowhere (the way most crises seem to start), a cryptocurrency lender named Silvergate Capital Corp failed, followed b...
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Silicon Valley is dead… Wall Street won’t save these early stage startups… Silicon Valley Bank’s “trickle-up” effect… Silicon Valley Bank Goes Bust1. I’m usually fast asleep by 11 pm… but last Friday, I wanted answers. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB)—America’s 16th-largest bank—had gone bust earlier that day. Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more I wanted to find out what was really going on… not what all the major news headlines were telling me. So I reached out to a well-respected Silicon Valley venture capitalist (VC) in my network. “How bad is the panic in startup land?” I asked. My p...
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Banking industry turmoil that has FHN stock well below the Toronto bank’s offer should prompt reconsideration First Horizon Corp. (NYSE:FHN) closed March 7 at $21.29. As of Wednesday, it’s down 26%, as the banking sector melts down from Silicon Valley Bank (NASDAQ:SIVB) to Credit Suisse Bank (NYSE:CS). Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more If TD had to close the deal tomorrow, it would pay 59% more than the current share price for the Memphis, Tennessee-based bank. That would not go over too well with shareholders. So, the question is whether TD should scrap the deal altogether or r...
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The collapse of SVB leaves large shareholders with big losses.One of Europe’s largest pension funds is nursing a hefty loss in SVB.Two financials focused hedge funds were also large hedge funds.The question remains which financial stocks the hedge funds are shorting.5 stocks we like better than SVB Financial GroupSilicon Valley Bank’s (NASDAQ:SIVB) collapse has sent shockwaves through the financial world, particularly among hedge funds and institutions with prominent positions in the failed bank. As investors scramble to assess the damage, some of the largest players in the financial sector ar...
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Searches for ‘is my money safe?’ rose 43% as another bank follows silicon valley bank in announcing collapse Online Searches For ‘is My Money Safe?’ ExplodeAnalysis of Google search data reveals that online searches for ‘Is my money safe?’ rose 43% the usual searches of the last few days in the United States on March 13 (PT), as news broke that yet another bank, the NYC based Signature Bank had to close as a consequence of Silicon Valley Bank’s (NASDAQ:SIVB) collapse on Friday March 10. Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more In fact, Americans last night also searched for ‘What happe...
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Just days ago, Silicon Valley Bank (NASDAQ:SIVB) was still viewed as a highly-respected player in the tech space, counting thousands of U.S. venture capital-backed startups as its customers. But fast forward to the end of last week, and SVB was shuttered by regulators after a panic-induced bank run. So, how exactly did this happen? We dig in below. Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Road To A Bank RunSVB and its customers generally thrived during the low interest rate era, but as rates rose, SVB found itself more exposed to risk than a typical bank. Even so, at the end of 2022, t...
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The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (NASDAQ:SIVB) threatened to prompt a wider financial crisis and the authorities had no choice but to roll out emergency measures, says the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organizations. Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Takeaways From Silicon Valley Bank's CrashHe says there are three key takeaways from the SVB’s collapse. First, “The authorities will get some stick, especially from the shareholders of SVB investors. The asset value of the bank itself is zero, and there’s no chance...
ValueWalk
The failure of SVB Financial Group (NASDAQ:SIVB) was the second largest in US history after Washington Mutual Bank (WAMU) back in September of 2008. During the financial crisis, I was a bank analyst working for a long/short fund and successfully shorted WAMU down to zero. I only bring this up to validate my experience covering the banking sector given the surprisingly large number of banking experts that have sprouted up on Twitter and Linkedin overnight. The current scenario with SIVB is unique and distinct from the environment during the financial crisis. During the financial crisis, banks f...
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